Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f51f10873be0a950d759f3e26f4915c378c3e4dad12fcc629754087d400081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 36c | 2,828$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.05 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,824$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,703$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 35c | 1,034$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 65c | 705.33$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 591.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 553$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 481.55$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 479.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 65c | 210.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 34c | 170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 35c | 149.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…d39abacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 35c | 81.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 57.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 19c | 53.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…aa6fbacked Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 65c | 25.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.