TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0142…b168

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.91
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+39.3%+$14.15
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Lada Togliattibacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+48.2%+$21.68
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.35
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$76.49
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$12.27
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$75.39
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+82.7%+$20.84
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chattanooga Mocs vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.