NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a778ce09543d7c53d507c21a30c0abbdb285371ce4650483943952377d7b344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Ducks, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Sabres | 58c | 51,145$29,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,481.02 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 42c | 29,146$12,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,226.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Ducks | 0c | 16,868$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 41c | 8,092$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.69 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sabres | 58c | 6,555$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.1 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Ducks | 0c | 6,547$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 59c | 6,151$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.88 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 59c | 6,079$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.46 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Ducks | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ducks | 42c | 4,900$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ducks | 42c | 4,591$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.06 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ducks | 42c | 4,409$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.78 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 42c | 4,314$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.88 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 41c | 4,210$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.19 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks | 41c | 4,078$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 0c | 3,467$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Ducks | 42c | 3,300$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Ducks | 42c | 2,900$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sabres | 58c | 2,536$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.09 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Sabres | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 76c | 2,402$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.07 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 58c | 2,295$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.79 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sabres | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 41c | 1,689$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.34 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 59c | 1,610$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.64 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 58c | 1,429$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.18 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sabres | 58c | 1,344$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.48 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,194$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.67 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 22c | 1,133$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 59c | 1,093$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.3 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 59c | 1,092$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.72 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks | 27c | 1,081$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Ducks | 42c | 1,026$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sabres | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Ducks | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Sabres | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Sabres | 58c | 964.13$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.93 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 16c | 920.3$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ducks | 16c | 916.88$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sabres | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Sabres | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Ducks | 41c | 888.79$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.4 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Ducks | 41c | 758.54$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sabres | 70c | 748.29$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.83 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…c31cbacked Ducks | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sabres | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Sabres | 59c | 500.88$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Sabres | 58c | 476.65$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Ducks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…fdadbacked Sabres | 59c | 448$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…0368backed Ducks | 42c | 447.62$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ducks | 28c | 437$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Ducks | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…f7b7backed Ducks | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ducks | 17c | 386$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 28c | 375.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…f21ebacked Sabres | 59c | 374.58$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Ducks | 41c | 367.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Sabres | 59c | 358.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 21c | 350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Sabres | 69c | 349.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 42c | 345.34$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Sabres | 59c | 344.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Sabres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Sabres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Sabres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Sabres | 60c | 335$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Ducks | 41c | 300.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ducks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Ducks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Sabres | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sabres | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…d5bcbacked Ducks | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Sabres | 70c | 294.14$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…b707backed Ducks | 9c | 288.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Ducks | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Sabres | 73c | 271.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Ducks | 41c | 263.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Sabres | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sabres | 57c | 251.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Ducks | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Ducks | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Sabres | 59c | 218.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Sabres | 72c | 210.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Ducks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Ducks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Sabresthis page
- Ducks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.