NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf574e85ca6f86a1fb86bec85ba1b53f424f46a5cd8095031d6ca930377475f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof CSKA Moscow, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb641…ac31backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 6,284$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…c1e9backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 6,269$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…0d7ebacked CSKA Moscow | 52c | 6,065$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…d53fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 6,050$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 852.19$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 809.28$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.27 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 751.49$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 25c | 742.87$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…2861backed CSKA Moscow | 79c | 247.86$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 236.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 204.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459d…6a27backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…eb4cbacked CSKA Moscow | 53c | 188.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…ccaabacked CSKA Moscow | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 140.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed CSKA Moscow | 59c | 131.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…35e8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…ce05backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…8651backed CSKA Moscow | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 47c | 107.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…a978backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4002…a998backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 49c | 103.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed CSKA Moscow | 58c | 86.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed CSKA Moscow | 77c | 74.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…a264backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…175abacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…5841backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed CSKA Moscow | 75c | 59.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…b168backed CSKA Moscow | 77c | 53.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked CSKA Moscow | 54c | 40.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed CSKA Moscow | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff2…44acbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 24.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…1fe0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed CSKA Moscow | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.