TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No66c29,296$19,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,997.549350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes35c21,686$7,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6322035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c7,347$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.252,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c6,656$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.1632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4402250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes53c3,201$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes35c3,002$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.0310038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Yes34c2,115$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7191258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7203727%10 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes61c1,922$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.747145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes34c1,765$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.227737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes8c1,483$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes38c1,430$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.9545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No66c1,256$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.064971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c1,230$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No33c1,207$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.122378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes34c1,109$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3773321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c1,067$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.881,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c1,028$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes34c1,001$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2120544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3306046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b25…e597backed No65c999.92$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes33c936.17$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9414249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No42c866.85$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.853432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes8c861.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.453129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes34c762$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes52c686.9$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No64c620.7$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes34c605.88$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No65c599.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes34c594.38$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0910940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No65c570.47$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7322947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No47c570$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1709556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No47c425.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.622889.3%25 W · 3 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked No47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes6c401.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No61c389.09$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes22c333.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.254320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked No48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.514748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Yes7c306.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.036357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked No67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes15c295.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4470%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes34c285.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.996428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes34c285$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.916046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Yes55c262.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes8c259.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.131030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c258.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No45c241$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked No46c230$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.28548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed No47c212.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.875856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes35c204.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.76350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed No48c203.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.935947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes18c202.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No57c200.44$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.554959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc738…7d74backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c189$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes7c180$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No66c178.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6721445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes58c176.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.031735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Yes34c175.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.823638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes65c154.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes30c153.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0128931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed No46c149.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.992564%16 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3410951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No43c144.45$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5611144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No30c140.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.651421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes31c135.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4917529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Yes14c134.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.731546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc40d…4813backed No32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No74c106.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3311546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes52c101.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.317847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a7…9064backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd962…1d5cbacked Yes68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed No47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.113345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes68c79.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.