TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No56c16,440$9,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,204.862,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c15,479$7,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,555.591,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes23c10,654$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,154.337337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Yes24c9,435$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,158.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes57c6,847$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.0632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c5,611$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737.0196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes11c4,145$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+261%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes36c2,900$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.6718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,988$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.0298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c1,740$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.3327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c1,696$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.0338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes13c1,538$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.461631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.9920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes21c1,349$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.4715635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No68c1,322$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.9622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No67c1,152$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.059556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.851346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes7c999.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.993633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes10c990$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8911323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No67c921.53$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.7922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked No67c799.97$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.982045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No73c774.59$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6211529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No30c605.77$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7117529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3353641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c470.48$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2222373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5513137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No4c427.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes36c362.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.883540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes10c340.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.385532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes77c332.91$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.764959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No57c331.05$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.53066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes13c311.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.112420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.038160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes34c294.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.373135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed No29c293.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No50c284$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.583129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No23c268.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No17c263.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7611546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.414647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked Yes8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes77c239.8$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.151258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18215623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13034643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed No66c199.23$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.62770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes29c195.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9411144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76cc…0bb8backed No16c194.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No16c192$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes10c174.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed No64c167.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.47785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.523828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Yes14c143.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed No67c123.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.513151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No16c121$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.172626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No67c109$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0337250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked No55c103.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.944344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Yes11c102.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes21c86.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5414231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked No49c77.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.034242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.763246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5312134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes19c72.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.364652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes19c70.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.834032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed No67c69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes33c63.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2316448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes53c62.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c61.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b5…fdd4backed Yes47c60.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6112946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes29c60.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.755131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c49.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4732150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4442…d020backed Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+183.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1523353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f84…73abbacked Yes33c44.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.05837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1212744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes32c42.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7236630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7825…89a0backed Yes33c39.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.791241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.465947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No78c37.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0212929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Yes34c34.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d0f…b453backed Yes37c34.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Yes33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Yes33c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked No68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42070%14 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No67c26.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed No62c25.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.623754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes51c24.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.134060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2834…c196backed Yes48c23.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No67c20.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.