TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes34c21,694$7,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4062035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c9,181$6,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.161,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c5,893$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.7396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No68c5,605$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9921058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3602250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes54c3,725$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.012035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No67c3,238$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.5814142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No68c3,190$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.024045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes54c2,605$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.4932843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c2,487$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.2198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes33c2,456$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.410038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Yes26c2,400$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c2,288$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.0448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c2,196$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6809556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No66c1,994$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6522947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes56c1,792$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c1,508$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes34c1,480$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.25747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No67c1,475$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.811153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d9…5a7cbacked Yes33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No68c1,238$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.244971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c1,119$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes17c1,010$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.266266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc6…d951backed No68c679.41$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.415100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No51c677$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.273129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No65c612.35$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3217543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c599.98$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9926046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed No76c526.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c520$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes35c514.29$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No67c507.46$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.46966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a62…c009backed Yes4c501.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes32c499.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.993641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed No68c486.77$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Yes51c470$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No67c465.16$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.513040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes20c445.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c411$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c403.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1337830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes25c400.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No67c399.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13221445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No67c396.97$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.339037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No67c374.62$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.621457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7866…8645backed Yes43c371.84$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes25c320.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.122330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x135c…4ed3backed No68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…c983backed No68c263.24$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ac…4235backed Yes10c207.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No67c199.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes52c192.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c182.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7347…bf18backed No68c169.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes26c164.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.541030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c162.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.694825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No71c160.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.982240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c156.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No67c149.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4923245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed No70c149$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.613030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed No65c145.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.222770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes34c142$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.281729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76cc…0bb8backed Yes14c140.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No51c139.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.275255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b94…d008backed No68c135.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4fd…b25bbacked No68c130.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c128.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd375…e1ecbacked No68c126.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1869…f2d5backed No68c122.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2861…656dbacked No68c120.59$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1645…f3dbbacked No68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.65540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No68c113.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.247100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50f5…91febacked No68c111.76$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes22c111.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46ee…05ebbacked No68c108.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.823100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed No52c108.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b99…4960backed No68c107.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No75c105.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c103.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3429862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe42…9222backed No68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…2b1abacked No68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.