TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Senators, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$798,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$809,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98f7…b3e4backed Senators48c300,479$143,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,757.0110753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Utah52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,0007946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Utah52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Utah52c75,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,999.998354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators48c48,301$23,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,127.1147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators47c24,032$11,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,295.0715953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Utah53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Utah52c18,888$9,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,066.2421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Senators47c18,043$8,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,480.389548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah52c16,470$8,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,880.861,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Utah53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.9932946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Senators48c13,460$6,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,460.81,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Utah53c12,000$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.993560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Utah53c10,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,72033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators46c6,500$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators46c6,403$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.289547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf6…ef18backed Senators47c5,234$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Utah53c5,161$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.3460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Utah53c5,122$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.3416241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Utah53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3506640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Utah52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Utah53c4,708$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.8961748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Senators0c4,377$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.837450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Utah53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Utah53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Utah53c3,400$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah55c3,275$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.511,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd848…3d3ebacked Utah53c3,094$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators31c2,990$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.821,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah53c2,978$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.162,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2766…b2c3backed Senators48c2,900$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Senators46c2,790$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.6341248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Utah69c2,454$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.741752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Senators18c2,366$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9338738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Utah53c2,263$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07022852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6713…73dabacked Utah69c2,175$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.052035%7 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2a…587ebacked Utah53c2,140$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e6…cc3abacked Utah76c2,106$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.49475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators47c2,046$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Utah52c2,043$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.821,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah53c2,029$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.121,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Utah53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Senators47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Utah52c1,984$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.5133345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Utah52c1,930$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.47157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Senators6c1,915$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.421,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah67c1,829$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5951,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Utah53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84638046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Senators7c1,578$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5448452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah66c1,556$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.191,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah72c1,512$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Senators47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.993735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1493…814ebacked Senators46c1,495$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e8…5442backed Utah54c1,495$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cc…ca09backed Senators46c1,493$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a2…edc7backed Utah54c1,493$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c40…ee18backed Utah54c1,490$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3343…df2ebacked Senators46c1,490$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…b734backed Senators46c1,490$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dad…2312backed Utah54c1,490$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebaa…77c3backed Utah54c1,490$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+80.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb73…f690backed Senators46c1,490$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0f…08febacked Senators46c1,488$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf193…a2dcbacked Utah54c1,488$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x151f…4a3bbacked Utah54c1,488$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35aa…75d0backed Senators46c1,488$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205b…fbe1backed Senators46c1,487$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x875d…ad8ebacked Utah54c1,487$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x361a…b093backed Senators46c1,487$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c42…11dbbacked Utah54c1,487$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x764f…460bbacked Utah54c1,484$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b2…732ebacked Senators46c1,484$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814a…11cebacked Senators46c1,483$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…172fbacked Utah54c1,483$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef4…bb45backed Utah54c1,483$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bf…2b52backed Utah54c1,483$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…b19cbacked Senators46c1,483$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c64…1b07backed Utah54c1,483$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1584…3fd3backed Senators46c1,483$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22f…47fabacked Senators46c1,483$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf21…38bdbacked Senators46c1,482$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72cd…b71ebacked Utah54c1,482$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ad…673bbacked Senators46c1,480$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…4268backed Utah54c1,480$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfbb…d5f3backed Utah54c1,479$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…f3adbacked Utah54c1,479$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc159…7cc4backed Senators46c1,479$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7470…ec60backed Senators46c1,479$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…909fbacked Utah54c1,477$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcadc…3239backed Senators46c1,477$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…0abcbacked Utah54c1,476$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9563…8b31backed Senators46c1,476$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ca…df99backed Senators46c1,476$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f47…343fbacked Utah54c1,476$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.966100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadeb…18ffbacked Utah54c1,475$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f1…e5a6backed Senators46c1,475$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9d…637bbacked Senators46c1,474$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc94…436bbacked Senators46c1,474$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc493…146abacked Utah54c1,474$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.