NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e91d7bb1a21e0ff73a18b39a5fa9e8d10dc2a18e258687849b3e51dae9a532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Penguins, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $867,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 51c | 320,322$164,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,412.08 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Bruins | 49c | 257,801$125,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,068.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bruins | 48c | 105,668$51,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,434.78 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Penguins | 54c | 91,893$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Penguins | 35c | 47,243$16,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,618.47 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 32c | 42,414$13,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,739.14 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Penguins | 51c | 40,816$20,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,816.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruins | 48c | 30,421$14,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,700.47 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Bruins | 71c | 22,216$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,466.71 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bruins | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,920 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Penguins | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bruins | 47c | 9,788$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.51 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Penguins | 36c | 9,549$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.67 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bruins | 48c | 8,652$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.91 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins | 48c | 8,555$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.47 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 47c | 7,557$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.42 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Penguins | 51c | 7,300$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bruins | 48c | 7,294$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.81 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bruins | 48c | 7,291$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.32 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Bruins | 69c | 6,900$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.27 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 48c | 5,067$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Bruins | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bruins | 71c | 3,466$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.15 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Bruins | 63c | 3,233$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.25 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Penguins | 37c | 3,167$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.85 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Bruins | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Penguins | 51c | 3,070$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.35 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bruins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bruins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Bruins | 49c | 2,896$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.06 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruins | 65c | 2,883$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.52 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bruins | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Penguins | 51c | 2,774$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.47 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Bruins | 49c | 2,709$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.83 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruins | 45c | 2,541$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.14 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked Bruins | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Penguins | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed Penguins | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Bruins | 66c | 2,468$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bruins | 59c | 2,256$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.95 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Bruins | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins | 46c | 2,014$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bruins | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.2 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…a1ccbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,972$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…e5dbbacked Bruins | 49c | 1,968$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…22e8backed Bruins | 48c | 1,892$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…8da1backed Penguins | 53c | 1,892$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Bruins | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Penguins | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Bruins | 68c | 1,400$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.32 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…d870backed Penguins | 53c | 1,270$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e75…27edbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,270$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,233$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.02 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Bruins | 49c | 1,165$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.31 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bruins | 46c | 1,117$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.92 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Bruins | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Bruins | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Bruins | 54c | 1,010$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.59 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Bruins | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.5 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bruins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bruins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins | 45c | 944$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.2 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Penguins | 33c | 900.62$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Penguins | 51c | 886.68$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.45 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Penguins | 49c | 755.56$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 52c | 746.99$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.43 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Penguins | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Penguins | 36c | 719.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Penguins | 51c | 716.07$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf846…cb9fbacked Bruins | 50c | 686$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…8fb5backed Penguins | 52c | 670.29$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Penguins | 37c | 652.7$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 52c | 650$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.31 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked Bruins | 61c | 629$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Bruins | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Bruins | 48c | 624.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Bruins | 51c | 615.41$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…1dd4backed Penguins | 4c | 615.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Bruins | 65c | 607.1$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Penguins | 32c | 603.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Penguins | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…183bbacked Bruins | 48c | 569.66$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bruins | 73c | 560.71$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 46c | 543$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 60c | 534.58$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Bruins | 47c | 524.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Penguins | 49c | 512.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 47c | 500.01$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Bruins | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Penguins | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 7c | 485.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Bruinsthis page
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.