NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c00121328b0e12e93d93b9212b62e7f94f6dcd83263c77f441e9c2b2f717287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 17,888$8,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,916.59 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 5,372$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.56 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 2,785$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.86 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 2,221$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.29 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 2,140$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.72 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 1,862$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Over | 48c | 1,833$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 50c | 1,437$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Under | 53c | 1,172$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.05 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 73c | 1,023$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.28 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Over | 51c | 978.36$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.41 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…0b03backed Under | 53c | 925.32$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 43c | 847.79$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.23 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Under | 53c | 512.32$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 67c | 446$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 354$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 257.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Under | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 192.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 63c | 187$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…094abacked Under | 52c | 143.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 53c | 127.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 51c | 110.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked Under | 52c | 109.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Over | 55c | 101.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 51c | 84.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Under | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…7e29backed Over | 41c | 65.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 36c | 62.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 62.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Under | 52c | 58.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 50c | 44.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 42c | 42.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 39.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 35.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 50c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. BruinsBruins won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.