NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e00f480f54249189c8513e19d80965f52929c7644154940092d25f0c732eb4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 54c | 75,000$40,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,650 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Rangers | 40c | 64,960$25,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,976.72 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rangers | 44c | 45,187$19,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,469.08 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 42c | 16,102$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,339.26 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Rangers | 42c | 13,791$5,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,043.8 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Capitals | 61c | 12,787$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800.32 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Capitals | 59c | 12,203$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Rangers | 42c | 10,949$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.37 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 60c | 9,951$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.96 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals | 59c | 9,218$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.99 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 58c | 9,052$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 31c | 8,954$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 58c | 7,784$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Capitals | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 59c | 6,538$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.73 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Rangers | 41c | 5,778$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.95 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Rangers | 45c | 5,676$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.06 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Capitals | 58c | 5,149$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 42c | 5,079$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.63 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 58c | 3,587$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.46 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 53c | 3,461$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers | 41c | 2,992$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.2 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Capitals | 19c | 2,701$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.88 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 2,666$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Capitals | 57c | 2,655$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.49 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Rangers | 45c | 2,453$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.46 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 60c | 2,354$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 59c | 2,318$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.83 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rangers | 45c | 2,318$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.95 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Rangers | 32c | 2,202$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.78 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 58c | 2,109$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.15 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 52c | 2,050$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Capitals | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Rangers | 41c | 1,732$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.71 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Capitals | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 53c | 1,542$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.82 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 62c | 1,486$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.14 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Capitals | 60c | 1,437$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.3 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Rangers | 39c | 1,300$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Capitals | 24c | 1,200$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Capitals | 60c | 1,171$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.53 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 60c | 1,168$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 59c | 1,084$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.27 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 58c | 1,067$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.86 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,008$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.72 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…9f5fbacked Capitals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Rangers | 45c | 968.7$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.27 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Rangers | 52c | 952.36$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…e1d7backed Capitals | 59c | 872.88$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 39c | 867$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.87 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Capitals | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Rangers | 39c | 812.42$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.71 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…ad48backed Capitals | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Capitals | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…8ff5backed Rangers | 19c | 786.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +424.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 67c | 775$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Rangers | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…d4aabacked Rangers | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rangers | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 50c | 689.39$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Rangers | 41c | 682.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Rangers | 41c | 663.4$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.59 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Capitals | 29c | 643.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rangers | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Rangers | 41c | 550.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.75 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Capitals | 58c | 515.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Capitals | 59c | 508.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 59c | 501.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Capitals | 60c | 500.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Capitals | 59c | 500$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Rangers | 41c | 500$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 58c | 500$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Capitals | 59c | 500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Rangers | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Capitals | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Rangers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rangers | 48c | 473.24$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.31 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870e…dd0bbacked Rangers | 44c | 426.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Capitals | 29c | 408.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rangers | 40c | 403.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Capitals | 61c | 374.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Rangers | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Rangers | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Rangers | 47c | 335.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Capitals | 51c | 329.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Rangers | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Capitals | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Rangers | 35c | 300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Capitals | 27c | 288$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rangers | 39c | 286.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Rangers | 41c | 267.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Capitals | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Capitalsthis page
- Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.