NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1e3354069caad6144af42fd3fd0bb0ec19ef4974f973fd659e8457aaca05a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 52c | 12,493$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,530.12 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 54c | 7,040$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 4,870$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.86 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 47c | 4,041$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.54 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 49c | 3,453$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.03 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 3,267$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.18 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…f24abacked Over | 47c | 1,328$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Under | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 925.19$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 733$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.82 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 660.75$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.81 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 3c | 469.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 49c | 410.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 46c | 239.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 7c | 160.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…4712backed Under | 52c | 134$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 69.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…551bbacked Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…d321backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…1957backed Under | 53c | 37.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5this page
- Rangers vs. CapitalsRangers won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.