TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Clippers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,683,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,730,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,683,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Clippers37c553,221$204,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,363.3610049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Knicks63c500,000$315,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,999.9926253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Clippers37c400,000$148,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,0008037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks63c250,018$157,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,506.661,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers35c128,819$45,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,274.961,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Knicks64c120,000$76,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,423.3412147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Knicks65c100,000$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,0001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Clippers37c80,000$29,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,599.999263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Knicks65c76,923$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,923.081770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks63c70,719$44,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,166.1259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Clippers38c59,305$22,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,409.629336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers36c55,931$20,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,042.971,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks63c50,000$31,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,30051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…3ef9backed Clippers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks63c49,073$30,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,348.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Clippers36c45,857$16,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,299.4459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks64c44,597$28,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,039.412,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks64c35,228$22,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,796.772,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks68c32,301$21,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,316.071,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Knicks63c30,018$18,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,119.7719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Clippers38c30,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,249.9323245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers6c23,179$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.351,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Clippers34c21,510$7,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,313.4610459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers49c19,992$9,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,796.0559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks64c19,807$12,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,196.481,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Knicks76c18,287$13,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.679640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks61c17,650$10,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,923.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Clippers6c16,232$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks55c15,853$8,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,201.783,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers30c15,624$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,665.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Clippers36c14,640$5,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.3321538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Clippers36c13,795$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00021944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Clippers36c13,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks62c12,340$7,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.12,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Clippers36c12,267$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.5227247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers35c12,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Clippers36c10,906$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.3739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks62c10,206$6,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,874.582,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Clippers0c9,414$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.478820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Clippers47c9,238$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.6222449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Clippers37c8,905$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.9322453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Knicks64c8,000$5,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Knicks65c7,961$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.2438148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Knicks62c7,891$4,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.7524151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Clippers41c7,807$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.827865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks63c7,777$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.4924554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Knicks64c7,131$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.0455346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Knicks66c7,001$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.3414945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks64c6,321$4,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.443,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Clippers33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Clippers49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.9729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Knicks66c6,000$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.9847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Clippers32c5,918$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.6716657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Knicks51c5,555$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.956454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers38c5,513$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.021,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Clippers35c5,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9509341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Clippers38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Clippers16c5,263$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.948331.3%26 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa28f…d25ebacked Clippers12c5,213$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.911910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Clippers2c5,014$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clippers37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d4…08d2backed Knicks67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Knicks64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Clippers45c4,953$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.3385344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe99a…918fbacked Knicks70c4,706$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Clippers38c4,605$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Knicks62c4,581$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.8830947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Knicks63c4,504$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.415954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks63c4,400$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.9786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Knicks63c4,221$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.7739349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Knicks62c4,030$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.495345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Knicks64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Knicks58c4,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Clippers33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca8…c951backed Clippers21c3,900$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.83026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks61c3,865$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Knicks67c3,644$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6215547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks62c3,568$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.592,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Knicks66c3,555$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.76357.1%36 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Clippers26c3,516$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6946940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Clippers37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.9937944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Clippers35c3,500$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9578445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Clippers33c3,463$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks64c3,411$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Knicks66c3,258$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.8836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Clippers32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb461…76cfbacked Clippers34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…1dccbacked Knicks67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9902339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Clippers36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers46c2,887$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.962,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked Knicks55c2,724$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.143458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Knicks64c2,719$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.755971.2%42 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks62c2,710$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.751,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Clippers16c2,599$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.72638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Clippers39c2,567$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00148448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers37c2,540$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Knicks63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.