TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under53c30,195$15,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,861.311656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over46c14,006$6,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,564.572,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c8,252$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.613,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over46c8,058$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,332.911,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c6,816$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c6,148$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.252,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under53c3,673$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.4540350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c3,024$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c2,966$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under51c2,094$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.782,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under61c1,994$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.532,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c1,939$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.242,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c1,834$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.344,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.189852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,521$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.251,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over79c1,135$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c867.49$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c839$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.672,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c738.3$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3842,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over48c715.77$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.26546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c598$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0854351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c427$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.962,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over44c418$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over43c418$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under53c396.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21025452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under52c379.52$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3540648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c351.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.912,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c295.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.042,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over47c280$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.47341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over47c250$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c240$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over44c209$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0410270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Over47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over46c177$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x139f…2b9bbacked Over48c165$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under19c162.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under38c148.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.981,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over55c122.16$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4759141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over79c120.91$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under51c104.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.439736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5335739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7533442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6823153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed Over48c83.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.442231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.47142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over50c71.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7940146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.263555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.83551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under54c61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.945152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over49c60.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7393849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over49c56.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.233,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3516…ea50backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under54c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.464429.5%13 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5122347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c43.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.513,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6734050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c40.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.228852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.223348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26c…a930backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1288…dbbbbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1420456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0815051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.097544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over50c32.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.323333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over64c32.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.923753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.927350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.922048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.932649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.923850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.927251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.925250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.