NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef06a838ece91dc353bde1fa04d1a49b597ef79772be6ca97bef6e9fde3a73f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 4,628$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 2,607$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Over | 48c | 1,876$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 1,525$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 802.75$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 60c | 332.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 317$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 192.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 43c | 134.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 54c | 119.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 90.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 56c | 89.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Under | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 75.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…1baebacked Under | 57c | 59.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 56.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Under | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…536abacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…1d45backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 57c | 25.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.