TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb889…a430backed Clippers53c80,000$42,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,399.959263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks47c64,000$30,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,9201,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks48c30,517$14,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,955.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks48c5,631$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks45c5,275$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.864,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clippers53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers52c4,693$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.3789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c4,446$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.274,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Clippers50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks47c3,844$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.122,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers52c3,669$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.243,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks48c3,187$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.592,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c3,013$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers51c2,940$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.4250653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Clippers52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f56…7a4ebacked Clippers52c2,152$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers49c1,910$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Knicks47c1,762$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.716442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks45c1,657$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Knicks52c1,581$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.1731551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Clippers51c1,467$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.383850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks53c1,461$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.331,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks75c1,340$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.943,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers55c1,330$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Knicks47c1,294$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.6210138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers53c1,241$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.731,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks47c1,194$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.821,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Knicks47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.838447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Clippers65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Knicks47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks50c897.52$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.072,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Clippers54c835.19$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45120651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Clippers52c673.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Clippers52c640.01$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.819232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Knicks47c627.75$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7123250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Knicks47c615.15$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.572,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers52c600$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Clippers52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…51c9backed Clippers52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-62.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Knicks48c515.26$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9340952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Knicks47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Knicks47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7840648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Knicks47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5315543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks48c408.21$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.843,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Knicks48c352.11$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.127051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Knicks48c335$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers18c330.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.413,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers50c319.4$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers50c315.03$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Knicks47c297.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8766046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Clippers54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Knicks50c276$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13838347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Knicks52c230$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Knicks49c230$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.323058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Knicks46c229.22$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1312727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Clippers53c224.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Clippers54c221.54$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1193333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Knicks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7736649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Knicks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3336143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Knicks48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.167450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Knicks48c206.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.255947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…1e3fbacked Clippers53c201.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Knicks47c201.37$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7339756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Knicks47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Clippers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks47c172.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.572,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Clippers30c165.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Clippers51c149.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7616837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Clippers65c146.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9512657.9%73 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks49c143.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers46c136.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.92,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Clippers17c134.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Clippers26c129.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4721642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Clippers51c127.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Knicks47c113.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.091741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Clippers53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks49c111.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers28c105.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Knicks48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Knicks47c101.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Clippers34c100.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.821,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Clippers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks47c96.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9793849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1938…e9b2backed Clippers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Knicks66c90.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5725056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Knicks48c87.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.652,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Clippers52c75.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Clippers20c73.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5830616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Clippers54c72.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Clippers52c64.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7548451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Knicks45c64.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5159141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Knicks48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.511041.8%46 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Clippers49c62.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.322128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.