TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,586 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c11,667$5,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,063.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under51c9,032$4,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,605.8811656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c7,510$3,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.8769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c4,596$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.762,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over49c4,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,29547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c4,445$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.041,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1202450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Under52c3,752$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9512161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Under51c3,750$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53010446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over49c2,038$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.5212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c2,004$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.045,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Under48c1,661$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.513850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over49c1,162$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.6285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over49c922.86$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6623250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c809.47$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.272,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c415.09$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2082,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c316.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c290$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.91,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over48c260.42$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4240952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c247.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.723,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c199.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over49c177.8$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6838148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under53c176.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.912,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over54c90.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.012045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c86.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.413,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc4…17f3backed Over73c79.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.163555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over51c67.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.238347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Under53c52.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.657245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Over50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2111642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under51c40.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.761,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c40.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4621756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under52c37.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.759141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf256…a93fbacked Over53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3913253%70 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under52c34.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c31.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d6f…7f1fbacked Over45c31.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.191957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x232c…12d7backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7688…5817backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under51c28.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6613844.2%61 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.