NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde566710a7a88d38d3036d3043834b9d8b7b8f1f937d88c8c7e6b1d2ddc11329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 47c | 6,106$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 52c | 3,459$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.78 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 53c | 3,053$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.97 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 2,824$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 2,679$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.55 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,541$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 889.93$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.81 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Under | 47c | 769.71$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.76 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 370.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 145.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 56c | 138.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 44c | 132.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…3ea8backed Over | 55c | 93.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 64.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 63.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 55.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 47c | 31.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…b387backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.