NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf379f19c253670b9d0d9867841b37e01514b5d29973d4c6f0268b76b482a6361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb889…a430backed Clippers | 48c | 29,042$13,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,939.51 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 52c | 24,000$12,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,520 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Knicks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Knicks | 52c | 8,960$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.03 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 49c | 8,229$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Knicks | 51c | 4,520$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.8 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Clippers | 49c | 4,320$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.8 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 48c | 4,102$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Knicks | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 48c | 3,061$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Knicks | 51c | 3,031$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.19 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Clippers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks | 52c | 1,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.07 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Knicks | 53c | 1,908$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.76 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Knicks | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 47c | 1,322$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Clippers | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 53c | 1,055$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Clippers | 49c | 283.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…56aebacked Knicks | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Knicks | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Clippers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Clippers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Clippers | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Knicks | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Knicks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Clippers | 68c | 170.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Clippers | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 51c | 121.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Knicks | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Knicks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Knicks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Knicks | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Clippers | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 47c | 71.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Knicks | 52c | 57.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 52c | 53.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Clippers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Knicks | 52c | 44.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Clippers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…c291backed Knicks | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Clippers | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…edffbacked Knicks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Knicks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Knicks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…8d18backed Knicks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Knicks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Knicks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…1ea1backed Knicks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Clippers | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks | 50c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Clippers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Clippers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Clippers | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 47c | 28.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Clippers | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Clippers | 49c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Knicks | 76c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Clippers | 49c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Knicks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.