NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6533ee62473326ccefc86105293df424e040bc1f36972dfa2eedab06b21c61d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 43c | 5,126$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 42c | 4,101$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Clippers | 57c | 4,100$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 57c | 3,309$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Clippers | 56c | 2,023$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.69 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Knicks | 49c | 942.33$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Clippers | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers | 53c | 662.76$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.26 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Clippers | 58c | 532.76$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Clippers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Clippers | 56c | 450.71$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 44c | 450.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 56c | 282.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 65c | 274.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…dcefbacked Knicks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 42c | 230$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Clippers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Clippers | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Knicks | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Clippers | 76c | 146.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Clippers | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Clippers | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d774backed Clippers | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Knicks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Clippers | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 56c | 88.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Knicks | 46c | 86.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Knicks | 47c | 82.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Knicks | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Knicks | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 56c | 79.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 46c | 78.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Clippers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Knicks | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Knicks | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Clippers | 57c | 57.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Knicks | 44c | 55.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dd…1417backed Knicks | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Clippers | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Clippers | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Knicks | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Clippers | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Clippers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Clippers | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Knicks | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Clippers | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks | 42c | 43.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 54c | 43.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 54c | 40.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Knicks | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Clippers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Clippers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Knicks | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Knicks | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Knicks | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Knicks | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Clippers | 59c | 29.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers | 64c | 29.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed Clippers | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Clippers | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Knicks | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Knicks | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Knicks | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.