TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d16…d24dbacked No80c19,526$15,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+103.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x953b…0a22backed Yes44c13,750$6,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,03410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c13,229$10,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.683,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes20c7,687$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.2427138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes22c7,610$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.8315134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c7,021$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.8228241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c5,934$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.61,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c5,539$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.282,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No79c5,535$4,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.353327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No80c5,384$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.1710945.9%50 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No79c4,905$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.048752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c4,759$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9733945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes20c4,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7806126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No78c3,676$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.6756547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes22c3,339$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.414447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes22c2,987$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.276234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes21c2,611$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.355923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a2…8015backed No80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes22c2,309$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.892250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes35c2,250$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes19c2,119$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.97423%17 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes22c1,714$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3771225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes6c1,705$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes2c1,610$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c1,567$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3734342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Yes35c1,529$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5351241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes20c1,388$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.617251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b80…b3b2backed Yes4c1,384$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13130%0 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes22c1,096$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1219347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9610…f02cbacked Yes21c1,056$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c1,027$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.569851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2109048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes21c955$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.557639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes72c928.56$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.011225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes22c860.36$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1111056.4%62 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked No5c800$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760345.9%2 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes21c773.97$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5951136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b26…6900backed Yes20c591.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c570$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9244655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes19c563.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.154240.5%17 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+81.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x563c…d5bfbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fd…d3adbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc68b…736cbacked No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d9…0e5fbacked Yes5c486.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Yes5c463.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.376056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d51…4946backed No61c457.92$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No75c425.44$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3611644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes19c421.86$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.881643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes22c421$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.629549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes9c406.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Yes18c351.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes21c350$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.520545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes6c342.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209123.1%21 W · 70 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes22c331.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.229746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4642…d21bbacked Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes24c306.55$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5244749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes23c300.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2155058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636583.1%54 W · 11 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes21c297.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.414537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes20c286.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.336428.1%18 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+401.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.743467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%6 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes12c241.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.514934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes21c240$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.415829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8be…4002backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…1400backed Yes22c218.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No78c209.25$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0818746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c207.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4333737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No62c195.44$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.276768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes26c192.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…f38dbacked Yes7c191.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked No67c190.09$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No43c188.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2123842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes10c181.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9519055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e8…4747backed Yes23c180$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-76.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes21c160$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5910361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324920.4%10 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304017.5%7 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.54440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3390%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes22c146.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7916045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes22c140$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.822829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes22c137.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.292924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes20c133.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.823721.6%8 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-64.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.