Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdde10390229a08f12134eb8cbbffbc9b6f8c7bf26e1867a73ebb932e256b514e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $842,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $872,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 57c | 49,665$28,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,357.1 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 43c | 44,232$19,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,125.83 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 44c | 30,000$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,300 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 29,751$16,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,116.35 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 22c | 29,429$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 44c | 23,000$10,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,062.49 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 21,679$12,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,755.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 18,227$10,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,317.78 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 43c | 17,610$7,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 49c | 16,602$8,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,084.97 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 46c | 15,359$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 44c | 15,333$6,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 78c | 14,988$11,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.2 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 14,142$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.82 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 12,969$7,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.25 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 44c | 12,345$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,431.8 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 44c | 12,019$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 43c | 9,929$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.54 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 55c | 9,854$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 57c | 9,402$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed No | 1c | 8,397$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 56c | 7,924$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.53 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 59c | 7,585$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.13 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 7,051$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.29 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 56c | 6,970$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 43c | 6,856$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 43c | 6,300$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.98 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 41c | 6,221$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 5,932$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.54 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 41c | 5,856$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.01 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 44c | 5,089$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 56c | 4,896$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.4 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 4,775$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.41 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 4,469$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.92 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes | 59c | 4,370$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 1c | 4,326$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 45c | 4,074$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.22 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 24c | 3,765$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 45c | 3,500$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.98 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 64c | 3,430$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 58c | 2,999$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,697$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 54c | 2,321$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.66 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 42c | 2,210$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.2 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 45c | 2,101$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 43c | 2,082$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.96 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,067$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.63 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 46c | 1,905$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed No | 9c | 1,900$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,816$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 44c | 1,810$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.25 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 44c | 1,780$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 1,733$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.8 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…a843backed Yes | 79c | 1,550$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 1,347$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.69 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…54ccbacked No | 13c | 1,335$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,324$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 53c | 1,304$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.04 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 44c | 1,037$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 54c | 1,013$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.14 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 57c | 971.3$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 56c | 962.5$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 58c | 948.91$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.77 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 26c | 944.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…e73abacked No | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 58c | 885.42$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 45c | 862.99$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.03 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 78c | 858.74$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 59c | 849.56$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 844.78$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.83 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 57c | 830$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 827.32$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.32 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 42c | 824.5$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.29 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 67c | 817.89$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.14 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 62c | 781$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.34 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…ed0cbacked No | 44c | 780$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c25…2971backed Yes | 56c | 766.28$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 45c | 749$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.89 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 55c | 744.55$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.68 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 739.85$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.35 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.