Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629a0a499da3a0e6064b57b15d5deb83788a30faef03e090e8152a41200398e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 77c | 31,562$24,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.21 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 16c | 30,010$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Yes | 0c | 15,444$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 10,225$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 24c | 5,182$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 4,130$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.1 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 61c | 3,297$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…55eabacked Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 3,110$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.1 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,418$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.42 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 77c | 2,090$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 1,997$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.25 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,980$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.71 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 1,802$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.98 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 58c | 1,799$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.39 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 77c | 1,771$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,436$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 21c | 1,152$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 23c | 1,107$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…54ccbacked Yes | 11c | 1,106$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 1,032$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,006$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 897$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 15c | 744.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 23c | 704$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 700.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 77c | 683.32$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes | 76c | 666.48$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 16c | 655.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 651.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 16c | 580.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 557.22$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 77c | 509.64$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 8c | 408.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 372.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 23c | 369$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 23c | 356.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 11c | 355.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 23c | 352.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 36c | 332.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 53c | 314.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 16c | 312.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 13c | 303.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 42c | 285.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 279.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 278.14$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 7c | 267.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +401.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 77c | 260.82$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…f54bbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…42f5backed Yes | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 236.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 8c | 235.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 233.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 77c | 206.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…d3adbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 39c | 193.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 28c | 191.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 23c | 191.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 22c | 188.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 22c | 188.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Yes | 10c | 188.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…1be8backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 15c | 168.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…b824backed Yes | 23c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 23c | 130.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 16c | 128.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 20c | 126.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 24c | 126.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 22c | 125.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…c119backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…f282backed Yes | 14c | 123.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 77c | 121.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…782dbacked Yes | 62c | 119.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 119.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 118.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 24c | 108.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.