NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a84be0c820e4eafcfd2227894c239cb600a4e8a0073e77cf67903ae015cc71e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,637,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,255,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,637,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 48c | 956,307$461,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494,505.51 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chargers | 52c | 638,932$331,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331,195.57 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Texans | 48c | 480,051$230,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249,626.51 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Chargers | 52c | 475,000$247,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,999.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0af8backed Chargers | 52c | 385,185$200,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,296.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Texans | 49c | 204,020$99,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,597.79 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Chargers | 52c | 175,000$91,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,000 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 48c | 163,574$78,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,058.63 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Chargers | 52c | 120,000$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,400 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Texans | 79c | 94,622$74,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,712.87 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Texans | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,599.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Chargers | 22c | 77,842$16,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,914.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 74c | 75,523$55,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,655.4 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chargers | 21c | 62,387$13,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,006.12 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Chargers | 22c | 60,804$13,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,360.24 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chargers | 17c | 60,225$10,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,016.86 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chargers | 18c | 47,222$8,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,452.57 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chargers | 13c | 43,740$5,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.44 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Chargers | 27c | 38,509$10,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,431.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chargers | 53c | 36,764$19,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,518.65 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…e0eebacked Texans | 48c | 35,043$16,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,222.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Texans | 48c | 35,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Chargers | 52c | 33,605$17,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,474.5 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Chargers | 52c | 31,737$16,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,503.39 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Chargers | 51c | 28,764$14,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,669.45 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Texans | 49c | 28,699$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,698.98 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Texans | 48c | 28,085$13,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,604.2 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 75c | 27,937$20,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.15 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texans | 48c | 26,221$12,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,635 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Chargers | 46c | 23,878$10,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,890 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Texans | 79c | 23,735$18,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.84 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chargers | 52c | 23,597$12,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,270.44 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Chargers | 53c | 23,019$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Texans | 48c | 22,222$10,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,555.44 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chargers | 52c | 22,222$11,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,555.41 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chargers | 12c | 22,056$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.05 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Chargers | 51c | 21,259$10,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,854.68 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Chargers | 52c | 20,366$10,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,590.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chargers | 52c | 20,192$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.98 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Chargers | 28c | 20,141$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…6a6cbacked Chargers | 53c | 20,040$10,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,621.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texans | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texans | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Chargers | 52c | 19,929$10,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,362.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Chargers | 20c | 17,783$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Chargers | 31c | 17,608$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chargers | 22c | 16,695$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.72 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 48c | 16,598$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,690.83 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Texans | 46c | 15,549$7,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,396.54 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Texans | 48c | 13,535$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.2 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Texans | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chargers | 22c | 12,829$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.38 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Chargers | 53c | 12,600$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Chargers | 35c | 12,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Chargers | 29c | 12,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…6a37backed Chargers | 14c | 10,431$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…2cd5backed Chargers | 18c | 10,300$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Texans | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Chargers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chargers | 27c | 9,079$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.25 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Texans | 48c | 9,000$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Chargers | 17c | 8,160$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Texans | 49c | 7,633$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.76 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Chargers | 52c | 7,246$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chargers | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Texans | 75c | 7,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texans | 47c | 6,988$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.03 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Chargers | 24c | 6,777$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Chargers | 20c | 6,753$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chargers | 53c | 6,736$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Chargers | 52c | 6,729$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Chargers | 16c | 6,428$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.88 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Texans | 48c | 6,214$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Texans | 49c | 6,200$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Chargers | 52c | 6,187$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Chargers | 10c | 6,135$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Texans | 75c | 6,130$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Chargers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Chargers | 52c | 6,000$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chargers | 53c | 5,824$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.68 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Chargers | 18c | 5,726$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Chargers | 18c | 5,718$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Texans | 56c | 5,381$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.31 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Chargers | 31c | 5,363$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Texans | 79c | 5,337$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.72 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Chargers | 38c | 5,309$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…4da8backed Texans | 48c | 5,156$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Chargers | 23c | 5,082$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.17 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Texans | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Texans | 80c | 5,019$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Chargers | 52c | 4,754$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.97 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Texans | 45c | 4,717$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Chargers | 53c | 4,556$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chargers | 20c | 4,277$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.29 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Texans | 70c | 4,240$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Texans | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.99 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Chargers | 2c | 4,200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…870ebacked Texans | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Texans | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Chargersthis page
- 1H Spread: Chargers (-0.5)Texans won
- Omarion Hampton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Spread: Chargers (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chargers (-2.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-4.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Texans (-7.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Texans (-9.5)Chargers won
- Texans vs. Chargers: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 37.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.