TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Texans vs. Chargers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Texansof Texans, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Texans72c795.33$573 inWon+$221.9875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a9…be15backed Chargers30c655.78$200 inLost-$199.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9d…efc0backed Chargers22c229.99$51 inLost-$50.6540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Chargers54c218.52$118 inLost-$1186333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Chargers23c217.57$50 inLost-$50.041118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Texans60c209.38$126 inWon+$83.515446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texans78c197.94$154 inWon+$43.5583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Chargers53c147$78 inLost-$77.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Chargers53c107.99$57 inLost-$57.241838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Chargers52c100$52 inLost-$521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Chargers53c64$34 inLost-$33.922133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Texans46c50$23 inWon+$276651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Chargers53c44$23 inLost-$23.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…d0c8backed Texans47c42.55$20 inWon+$22.555752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Texans48c40$19 inWon+$20.81668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Texans47c40$19 inWon+$21.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Texans47c33$16 inWon+$17.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Texans47c33$16 inWon+$17.491050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texans78c32.05$25 inWon+$7.0514952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Texans47c31$15 inWon+$16.431050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Texans47c27$13 inWon+$14.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Texans48c25$12 inWon+$131070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Texans48c24$12 inWon+$12.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Texans47c24$11 inWon+$12.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Texans47c23$11 inWon+$12.191050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Texans47c22$10 inWon+$11.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Texans47c22$10 inWon+$11.661560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Texans47c22$10 inWon+$11.66988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.