NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf0992b8ad9180dbb63c6c1f3534ee9899638b70bc758036df9476d99999f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Over | 52c | 11,936$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 11,342$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.05 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 48c | 7,741$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.17 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Over | 53c | 7,717$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 7,476$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.42 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,854$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 53c | 4,920$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 4,802$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.95 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Over | 51c | 4,010$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.17 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,385$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.05 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.97 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 1,768$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.8 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 50c | 1,453$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 49c | 1,034$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 48c | 1,009$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 50c | 999.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 51c | 980.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 54c | 947.85$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.84 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Over | 56c | 895.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 824.06$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.75 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 815.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.23 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Under | 46c | 570.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Under | 47c | 542.82$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.82 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 65c | 425.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Over | 56c | 423.2$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…1afbbacked Over | 51c | 418$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…88e5backed Under | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…9ffebacked Over | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…dd9dbacked Over | 51c | 406$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…8ab2backed Under | 50c | 406$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…fb4fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f13ebacked Over | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…3851backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 399.39$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…627ebacked Under | 50c | 375$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…db8bbacked Over | 51c | 365$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279f…2008backed Over | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…1580backed Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 51c | 341.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…f9c0backed Over | 69c | 301.5$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 293.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 50c | 281.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 273.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 249.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Over | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 215.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 19c | 207.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 51c | 194.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…d38fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 58c | 191.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 49c | 189.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 183.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 44c | 166$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 47c | 150.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…295dbacked Over | 50c | 148.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 48c | 138.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Under | 78c | 136.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…190abacked Over | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 119.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Under | 37c | 118.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Under | 45c | 111.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…add9backed Over | 52c | 100.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…5487backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Under | 49c | 81.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 74c | 76.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Over | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Over | 51c | 66.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5this page
- 1H Spread: Chargers (-0.5)Texans won
- Omarion Hampton: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Spread: Chargers (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Chargers (-2.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-4.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Texans (-7.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Texans (-9.5)Chargers won
- Texans vs. ChargersTexans won
- Texans vs. Chargers: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 37.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.