NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82c77d465d099610fe67f902440afde7ba9a166437aef3f4ee9376f9cedbed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,855,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,101,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,855,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 907 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs | 33c | 306,167$99,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,236.25 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Thunder | 30c | 148,632$44,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,185.42 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Thunder | 68c | 137,785$93,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,962.42 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs | 34c | 110,618$37,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,512.82 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 21c | 104,015$22,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,295.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Thunder | 68c | 95,241$64,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,303.37 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs | 33c | 65,933$21,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,229.56 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Thunder | 38c | 60,000$22,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,900 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 34c | 50,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,200 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 68c | 48,218$32,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,644.83 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Spurs | 32c | 47,899$15,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,579.17 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Spurs | 33c | 45,855$15,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,722.58 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 63c | 43,130$27,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,065.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 64c | 42,943$27,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,617.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 53c | 40,150$21,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,924.27 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 68c | 38,081$25,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,895.09 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 67c | 37,616$25,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,212 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Spurs | 33c | 37,220$12,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,002.01 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 18c | 32,461$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.16 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Thunder | 67c | 31,722$21,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,406.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 67c | 31,000$20,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,769.96 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs | 33c | 30,303$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,303.03 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Thunder | 66c | 30,000$19,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,823.73 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder | 17c | 29,573$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.65 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Thunder | 66c | 28,990$19,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,223.36 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 35c | 28,292$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,292.09 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 66c | 26,007$17,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,286.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Thunder | 68c | 25,030$17,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,020.29 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Spurs | 33c | 25,001$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,750.67 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Thunder | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Thunder | 67c | 24,223$16,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,131.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Spurs | 33c | 22,727$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,227.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 67c | 21,552$14,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,362.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Thunder | 4c | 18,288$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.58 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 67c | 17,706$11,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,862.82 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 67c | 15,345$10,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,273.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 20c | 15,342$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.12 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 66c | 15,209$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,993.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 62c | 12,896$7,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,981.76 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Spurs | 68c | 12,280$8,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.09 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Spurs | 33c | 12,023$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.05 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Thunder | 68c | 12,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Spurs | 36c | 11,991$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,684.08 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Thunder | 68c | 11,742$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.54 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 68c | 11,735$7,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,972.22 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Thunder | 67c | 11,153$7,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,473.25 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 35c | 10,942$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.5 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 70c | 10,942$7,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,647.32 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Thunder | 47c | 10,763$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.61 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Thunder | 66c | 10,333$6,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,842.02 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 30c | 9,885$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,919.74 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder | 68c | 9,805$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,667.4 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 41c | 9,384$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Thunder | 69c | 9,300$6,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,416.99 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Thunder | 67c | 9,206$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.02 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Spurs | 55c | 9,133$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.96 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder | 63c | 9,000$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.96 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Spurs | 31c | 8,933$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,163.01 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…00c7backed Spurs | 32c | 8,694$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Thunder | 68c | 8,463$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.84 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed Spurs | 33c | 8,392$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Thunder | 68c | 8,065$5,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 67c | 7,975$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.25 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spurs | 50c | 7,869$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.66 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs | 31c | 7,700$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Thunder | 67c | 7,458$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.09 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Spurs | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.83 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Thunder | 68c | 6,910$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Thunder | 67c | 6,763$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.41 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 68c | 6,700$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Thunder | 15c | 6,574$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Spurs | 49c | 6,402$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.52 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 59c | 6,320$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.9 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…c26cbacked Spurs | 32c | 5,940$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Thunder | 67c | 5,900$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.93 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Spurs | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 62c | 5,824$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 33c | 5,763$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.1 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 66c | 5,714$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.92 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Spurs | 33c | 5,627$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.15 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Thunder | 4c | 5,591$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Thunder | 68c | 5,271$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.67 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Thunder | 49c | 5,154$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Thunder | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked Spurs | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…4b30backed Thunder | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Thunder | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Thunder | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 66c | 5,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.98 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Spurs | 33c | 4,998$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.85 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Thunder | 67c | 4,801$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.66 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Thunder | 65c | 4,714$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.5 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Thunder | 66c | 4,676$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.35 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…1909backed Thunder | 65c | 4,183$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Spurs | 45c | 4,122$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Thunder | 62c | 4,036$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.