NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6608e09f6ca737d5f7743a79cacbb8de562f3f42389d620c23db1c0ea31cf2ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 53c | 296,486$156,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,319.51 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 48c | 23,664$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,321.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 51c | 20,918$10,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,668.08 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 49c | 12,233$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,966.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 47c | 9,666$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.83 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 54c | 5,055$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.15 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 50c | 3,521$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.3 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 54c | 2,295$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 48c | 2,242$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 45c | 1,722$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 48c | 1,500$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Spurs | 59c | 1,357$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.39 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 48c | 1,197$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.23 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.33 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 46c | 833.33$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 50c | 726.78$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 46c | 663$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Thunder | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 41c | 535.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82f…3a37backed Spurs | 55c | 419.79$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Spurs | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Spurs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 50c | 323.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Spurs | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Thunder | 50c | 198.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Spurs | 49c | 194.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Thunder | 52c | 191.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Spurs | 56c | 189.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…93bbbacked Spurs | 56c | 178.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Thunder | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 46c | 139.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Spurs | 75c | 137.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Spurs | 51c | 130.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Spurs | 56c | 125.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Spurs | 49c | 105.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…c4cebacked Thunder | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 50c | 101.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Spurs | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Spurs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Thunder | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Spurs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Spurs | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Thunder | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 53c | 93.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Spurs | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 47c | 79.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f7ffbacked Spurs | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 48c | 73.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 47c | 73.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Spurs | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Thunder | 45c | 65.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Thunder | 49c | 62.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spurs | 49c | 60.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 48c | 55.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Spurs | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Spurs | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Spurs | 55c | 54.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Spurs | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Spurs | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Thunder | 53c | 41.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 47c | 40.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Spurs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Spurs | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…6e5abacked Thunder | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 45c | 33.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Thunder | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spurs | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Spurs | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Spurs | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Spurs | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Spurs | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Spurs | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.