TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd347…6e5a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$53.71
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.11
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.69
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$50.52
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$229.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.