Token Launches · resolved market
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3addab2e7e43c964d8b7bf1cb9f3a12207a509fddb3ee9fc28aaaa4729f695f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a44…c20bbacked Yes | 4c | 65,095$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 31,651$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb725…ee14backed Yes | 1c | 23,358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d0…97d3backed Yes | 27c | 18,400$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed No | 70c | 16,314$11,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 14,371$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed Yes | 2c | 13,254$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…f455backed No | 69c | 11,066$7,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…4354backed Yes | 3c | 7,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…b85dbacked Yes | 31c | 6,499$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,877$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.57 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked Yes | 25c | 5,829$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 5c | 5,490$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.21 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 1c | 5,126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…544fbacked Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…66b6backed No | 60c | 4,998$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…d33fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,864$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 40c | 4,793$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…4947backed Yes | 2c | 4,580$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…0184backed Yes | 3c | 3,855$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…2dffbacked Yes | 34c | 3,533$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,525$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,512$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd853…d427backed Yes | 6c | 3,486$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…b7a5backed Yes | 5c | 3,303$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 35c | 3,090$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.88 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…82b7backed Yes | 14c | 3,079$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0615backed Yes | 2c | 2,974$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…0100backed Yes | 2c | 2,917$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 0c | 2,869$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 71c | 2,850$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…043cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,377$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,277$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed No | 58c | 2,273$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.29 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 18c | 2,269$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…326ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,098$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…533bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…b41ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…e168backed Yes | 4c | 1,723$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…6a23backed Yes | 30c | 1,661$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…3a8ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,640$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,633$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1661backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64bc…a31ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,574$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Yes | 34c | 1,488$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 52c | 1,363$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…1273backed No | 77c | 1,306$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 53c | 1,288$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.52 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…a788backed Yes | 2c | 1,232$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9edabacked No | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 40c | 1,200$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…3ddfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked No | 69c | 1,043$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…922dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…75b6backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…6682backed Yes | 21c | 966.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…5a87backed Yes | 12c | 899.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…4d9dbacked Yes | 12c | 876.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…f7e6backed Yes | 44c | 868.78$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked Yes | 26c | 799.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…97a2backed No | 78c | 763$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…4f8fbacked Yes | 3c | 708.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 60c | 700$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 74c | 678.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 6c | 635.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…50b4backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 575.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 73c | 573.94$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2152…c3f9backed Yes | 17c | 572.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked No | 53c | 566.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 63c | 553.9$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.94 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed No | 56c | 549.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 8c | 534.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…e9c9backed Yes | 22c | 518.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 75c | 509.98$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 72c | 500$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 20c | 492.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…366dbacked No | 74c | 490.12$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…0b0abacked Yes | 29c | 453.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…7083backed Yes | 16c | 432.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…86c1backed Yes | 38c | 429.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 24c | 425.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 420.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…bb94backed No | 48c | 412.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 29c | 402.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…3f88backed Yes | 29c | 399.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…a5debacked Yes | 46c | 378.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 69c | 372.28$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 71c | 371.03$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…745fbacked Yes | 3c | 343.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…7805backed Yes | 44c | 337.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.