TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Cavaliers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$699,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$719,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 997 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa47a…fd11backed Clippers77c64,771$49,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,949.625261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers35c46,375$16,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,225.2222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Clippers39c45,000$17,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,533.611656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers48c39,290$18,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,449.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers42c15,516$6,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.1747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers70c14,732$10,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,303.6225865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers27c14,444$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.971,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd200…06b1backed Cavaliers51c13,656$6,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,924.663348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers57c9,427$5,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.8413560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Clippers68c9,038$6,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.724050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Cavaliers49c8,375$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.8619152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers60c7,775$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,687.2996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Cavaliers61c7,233$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.1315741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Cavaliers59c7,042$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.379572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Cavaliers59c6,837$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers58c6,657$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.230251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers44c6,356$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.951,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Cavaliers28c6,326$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.6933931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Clippers32c6,258$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,258.2811229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Cavaliers43c6,210$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65041742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Cavaliers9c5,200$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.7729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Clippers41c5,152$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.0656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Cavaliers56c5,120$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.2220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Cavaliers59c5,000$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.7929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Cavaliers61c4,833$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.116537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Cavaliers58c4,529$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.9210926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers20c4,231$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.1530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…903cbacked Clippers45c4,049$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Cavaliers61c3,950$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.2977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers60c3,900$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3431,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Cavaliers18c3,751$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.5227731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Cavaliers56c3,616$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.4934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Clippers39c3,595$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.3237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers42c3,335$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.251,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Cavaliers48c3,311$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.0728347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers52c3,211$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.0334852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers54c3,050$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65195848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9929858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Clippers41c3,000$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.5461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers61c2,810$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.9666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Cavaliers61c2,750$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.529957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers42c2,666$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers44c2,559$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.221,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644c…8f6bbacked Cavaliers37c2,519$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.715145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba7c…a3cbbacked Clippers42c2,428$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Clippers43c2,344$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.2670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers57c2,294$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.169868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Cavaliers60c2,192$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.6945743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Clippers43c2,072$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1791,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Clippers42c2,019$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.7618354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Clippers35c2,001$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.838027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers62c2,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Clippers42c1,991$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.8933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Cavaliers55c1,966$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.6150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000f…fa77backed Cavaliers58c1,899$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.432669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Clippers42c1,880$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.257647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers62c1,872$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.561,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…323cbacked Cavaliers58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0441650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Cavaliers58c1,762$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.354628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Cavaliers58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Cavaliers12c1,703$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Cavaliers2c1,700$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Cavaliers59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers63c1,679$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.251,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Clippers38c1,655$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.1262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers8c1,600$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Cavaliers56c1,600$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…62b5backed Cavaliers27c1,500$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.692236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Cavaliers58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87023135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers36c1,500$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9551,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Clippers39c1,476$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Cavaliers68c1,472$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.571080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Clippers36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8962133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Cavaliers47c1,373$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.0417943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Clippers54c1,324$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.16747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Cavaliers7c1,300$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1626124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Clippers40c1,298$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.6726640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Clippers40c1,296$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.9285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Clippers80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0615341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Cavaliers24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Clippers34c1,240$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.820553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Clippers36c1,233$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.410643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Clippers48c1,225$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.9736751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers60c1,172$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70827163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Clippers35c1,137$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.478536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x709a…20b6backed Cavaliers63c1,112$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers3c1,050$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Clippers45c1,023$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.812657.7%15 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+57.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Clippers28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.0553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Clippers33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67012334.1%42 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Cavaliers56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Cavaliers60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers58c999.96$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.981,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers18c998.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Cavaliers68c987.76$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.8520447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers23c889.28$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.841,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Clippers41c865.95$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9157760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Cavaliers59c859.8$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.28955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Cavaliers57c859.36$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6116563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.