TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Mavericks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,593,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,681,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,593,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 990 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks51c127,508$65,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,437.3572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Jazz49c99,999$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,999.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz34c80,000$27,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,799.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks59c68,991$40,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,782.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks53c63,733$33,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,579.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Mavericks51c53,814$27,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,445.3215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Jazz49c53,595$26,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,347.86654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Jazz49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,5001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Mavericks51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.983839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz45c46,236$21,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,219.851,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Jazz49c45,175$22,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,039.2547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks51c40,515$20,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,841.372,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz38c40,266$15,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,017.372,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Jazz47c38,702$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,702.453745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks41c31,971$12,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,957.831,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz48c31,939$15,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,714.221,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz46c31,660$14,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,066.231,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Mavericks64c31,368$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000.0434062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,30051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks55c25,559$13,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,991.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz47c25,000$11,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,149.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks54c25,000$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,399.9927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Jazz48c22,156$10,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,521.414742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks53c22,000$11,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,659.941,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz49c20,329$9,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,367.5721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e04…721bbacked Jazz47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Mavericks53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Mavericks52c19,836$10,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,31536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Mavericks55c19,192$10,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,547.488939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Mavericks55c18,490$10,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,119.535139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Jazz45c18,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8406352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Mavericks56c16,000$8,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,96014052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Jazz47c16,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.9916942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Mavericks53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.9720551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz47c14,998$7,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,948.9423245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks40c14,944$6,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,034.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Jazz47c14,168$6,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,509.0813455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz32c14,166$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,675.931,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Jazz62c13,186$8,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,054.195664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz49c11,850$5,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,094.5635547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks33c11,833$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.0381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Mavericks52c11,657$6,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,061.6914549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jazz47c11,289$5,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,983.3152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mavericks19c11,114$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.6789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.1176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Mavericks52c10,899$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.6650653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24be…572fbacked Jazz47c10,630$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Mavericks47c10,485$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,923.2317441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz49c10,203$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,206.752,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Mavericks66c10,036$6,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,596.0818453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9b…4855backed Mavericks54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Jazz44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.924035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks52c9,529$4,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,978.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz39c9,400$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,738.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks52c7,521$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.8574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Jazz22c7,063$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,498.743036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks15c6,825$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.1464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks68c6,704$4,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.763,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9df…249ebacked Jazz45c6,575$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,631.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Jazz45c6,164$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.92536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Mavericks61c6,084$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.412330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-49.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x93c7…99febacked Mavericks53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks54c5,889$3,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.642,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz53c5,854$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Mavericks53c5,849$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz79c5,783$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.0573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Mavericks52c5,740$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.627339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks42c5,707$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.234,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks34c5,447$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.991,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Mavericks9c5,362$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6219419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jazz45c5,351$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.231,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Mavericks4c5,340$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.43762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a3…1d40backed Mavericks53c5,200$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7561250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jazz39c5,094$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.1276850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Mavericks53c5,000$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62510041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz38c4,453$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.532,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Jazz50c4,273$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.6222449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Jazz47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.327745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Mavericks52c4,033$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.1617141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Mavericks55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Jazz48c4,000$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.35558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz48c3,959$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.3244648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks53c3,922$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.3944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Jazz49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5535651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Mavericks48c3,742$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d24…b6ddbacked Mavericks54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006947.8%33 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa50e…ee04backed Jazz47c3,700$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz49c3,633$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.281,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks53c3,547$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.5462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f0…6103backed Jazz27c3,457$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.731030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Mavericks52c3,456$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.2111558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz45c3,440$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.7238649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks52c3,342$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.1527747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Mavericks54c3,241$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87e…3205backed Mavericks53c3,200$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51e1…c98abacked Mavericks52c3,063$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5926653%35 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Jazz44c3,055$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.696051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe354…ef24backed Jazz45c3,013$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.