NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x851128dca0664fe3160ee0841b82e20c54d2486e3a0738fef0c70011b03ba6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Jazz | 56c | 6,208$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.67 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Mavericks | 61c | 2,473$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.35 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,439$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Mavericks | 71c | 598.56$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Mavericks | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Mavericks | 9c | 387.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 7cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Mavericks | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 43c | 159.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Jazz | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…570fbacked Mavericks | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Jazz | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Jazz | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Jazz | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Jazz | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Jazz | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Mavericks | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Mavericks | 51c | 37.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Mavericks | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Mavericks | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.