NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6da6c287aca6e763e7f5dfdea44a530f72b9812df6c01592394058c4688e4f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 5,233$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.8 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,086$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…0fdabacked Over | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Under | 48c | 954$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 577$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 478$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 5c | 325.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 293$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…59f7backed Over | 53c | 208$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…627ebacked Under | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 203.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…5b00backed Over | 53c | 197$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…9f66backed Under | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 195.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 131.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 46c | 127$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 49c | 97.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 39c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 59.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 56.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 58c | 43.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 42.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 61c | 17.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.