NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9a05b5cec0dab2c7b98d0a8fb0146c81876eb37514efc366167855612267d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 5,937$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 48c | 5,691$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.57 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 50c | 4,999$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.5 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Under | 50c | 2,992$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…94fdbacked Over | 51c | 2,257$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,637$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…ea0abacked Under | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 1,224$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 5c | 999.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Under | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 50c | 698.6$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.3 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Under | 50c | 669.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 5c | 433.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 53c | 373$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 51c | 313.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 193$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 73c | 115.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…1f0bbacked Over | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Under | 42c | 90.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 55c | 72.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Under | 36c | 68.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 55.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 47c | 51.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…fb43backed Under | 49c | 47.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 47.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 41.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…32ddbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Under | 49c | 26.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1374…867fbacked Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…ac2fbacked Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.