NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599726c267fc3b639bca802fd98bd10bda64dbd6476f2c5a660f92baa94c0834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Mavericks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 52c | 15,181$7,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,265.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Mavericks | 46c | 8,130$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.98 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 46c | 6,312$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,041$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,521$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.17 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Jazz | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jazz | 48c | 3,478$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.54 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,080$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz | 52c | 2,561$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.83 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Jazz | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,194$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz | 53c | 2,158$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.2 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,307$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.17 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 53c | 1,153$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.03 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 559.57$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks | 48c | 467.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz | 52c | 372$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Jazz | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Mavericks | 53c | 282.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Jazz | 56c | 198.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Jazz | 54c | 178$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 53c | 172.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 146.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 69c | 112$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Mavericks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Mavericks | 48c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Jazz | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Jazz | 52c | 83.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…f449backed Mavericks | 50c | 78.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 50c | 72.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Jazz | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Mavericks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Mavericks | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Mavericks | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Mavericks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…404cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…73e7backed Mavericks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Jazz | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Mavericks | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mavericks | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Jazz | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz | 50c | 36.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 45c | 35.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Jazz | 49c | 32.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Mavericks | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Mavericks | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Mavericks | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed Jazz | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Mavericks | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Jazz | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Jazz | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.