TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MANA eSportsof ALGO Esports, MANA eSports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked ALGO Esports52c24,944$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MANA eSports48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed MANA eSports47c7,027$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.147363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed MANA eSports46c6,032$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.0728248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked ALGO Esports54c3,661$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.1427530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed ALGO Esports9c3,514$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.411010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked ALGO Esports59c3,302$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.42,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3811…5d15backed ALGO Esports48c2,823$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed MANA eSports47c2,770$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.7941850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked MANA eSports36c2,566$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.9636245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x259b…567dbacked MANA eSports52c1,784$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+62.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed ALGO Esports52c1,541$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.0617249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…f441backed MANA eSports78c1,508$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked MANA eSports47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f7a…b288backed ALGO Esports47c1,415$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f9…f2a3backed ALGO Esports48c1,394$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MANA eSports49c1,308$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.861,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d6…8ff9backed ALGO Esports47c1,268$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a1f…22b0backed MANA eSports52c1,129$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e6…5c4fbacked MANA eSports52c1,039$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+116.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed ALGO Esports47c1,017$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7257647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4be…e843backed ALGO Esports48c1,012$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f79…a627backed MANA eSports43c1,000$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.111181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+86.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked MANA eSports35c984.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2575056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x387e…4c5dbacked ALGO Esports49c983$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed MANA eSports35c936.94$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0135033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed MANA eSports49c922.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.691741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ff…ebe9backed MANA eSports53c911$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked MANA eSports52c900$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43532352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed MANA eSports57c878.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.966648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b36…cd58backed ALGO Esports47c871$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e8…c7f6backed MANA eSports41c787.23$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.462250%11 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed ALGO Esports69c734.91$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.021060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed MANA eSports53c727.47$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6413144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5f…9eaebacked MANA eSports53c717$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb927…148abacked MANA eSports53c698$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d7…e896backed ALGO Esports47c689$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed ALGO Esports51c681.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed ALGO Esports52c658.41$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0822554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ed6…ea5abacked ALGO Esports47c651$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed MANA eSports54c647.34$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.341827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed ALGO Esports57c627.73$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36de…1a78backed MANA eSports52c586$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked MANA eSports52c578$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.441450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked ALGO Esports57c550.63$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2922754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed MANA eSports55c548.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1a…5e64backed MANA eSports53c526$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.221060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a2…a0b3backed MANA eSports51c513.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed MANA eSports49c511.95$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.096637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ALGO Esports49c500.87$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.535,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked MANA eSports49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MANA eSports47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc472…bfb9backed MANA eSports51c469$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked ALGO Esports52c434.54$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5610446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c6…5791backed ALGO Esports47c432$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40f…ae21backed ALGO Esports48c426.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x991c…5f1bbacked MANA eSports52c426$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdacf…d252backed ALGO Esports47c419$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed MANA eSports53c411.52$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.725028%14 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed MANA eSports49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…5983backed ALGO Esports47c404$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked ALGO Esports45c400$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18134147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed MANA eSports48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20815151.7%78 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked MANA eSports53c377.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.42560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2157…b096backed MANA eSports53c357$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc41b…4883backed MANA eSports53c351$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.97520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa58e…93d6backed MANA eSports53c346$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d0…f8d1backed MANA eSports53c345$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1651…7494backed MANA eSports53c343$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed ALGO Esports48c342.31$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3133949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked MANA eSports49c338.87$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.665655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MANA eSports47c331.04$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed MANA eSports49c330.76$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.312752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…1d29backed MANA eSports54c325.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed ALGO Esports51c300.59$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.19433%31 W · 63 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xca12…44bdbacked MANA eSports53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked MANA eSports50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…3365backed ALGO Esports62c295.61$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.251540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed ALGO Esports48c288.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4822342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed MANA eSports40c281.24$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7421528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff2…9ef0backed MANA eSports52c265$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALGO Esports63c259.02$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.655,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf8…a1bdbacked ALGO Esports65c231.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb703…fdb2backed MANA eSports53c230$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f61…67ebbacked MANA eSports50c224.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.253135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed MANA eSports54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2268753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ALGO Esports51c218.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11136253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…2284backed MANA eSports52c217$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x281f…b7b5backed MANA eSports53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…4682backed MANA eSports52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ce…94abbacked MANA eSports53c209$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd03…a537backed MANA eSports53c204$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fe…99e4backed MANA eSports53c202$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a8…f4ebbacked MANA eSports53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4af…0938backed MANA eSports39c195.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked ALGO Esports27c187.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.293531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…c103backed MANA eSports54c185.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbd…16d6backed MANA eSports52c177.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.834427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed MANA eSports44c170.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5421139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed ALGO Esports12c170$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.