CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x179dbc3986f41f76b1d033c93da5c90a6e323e846fa2b95c8a24f73305002b32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof ALGO Esports, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 202.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked ALGO Esports | 26c | 151.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed ALGO Esports | 29c | 148.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…c4ecbacked ALGO Esports | 39c | 129.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked MANA eSports | 50c | 109.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ALGO Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed MANA eSports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed MANA eSports | 67c | 88.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 79.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 78.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…5347backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 49.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 49.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…9480backed ALGO Esports | 49c | 38.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 68c | 36.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked MANA eSports | 58c | 36.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerALGO Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.