NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c194a5bcb4cb6977f166f7d62cb9a8e0f0eb244e552c78e4834af4eadce0e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Flames | 42c | 184,427$76,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,501.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 58c | 64,321$37,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,305.99 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 57c | 37,503$21,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,282.25 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Penguins | 60c | 16,543$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Penguins | 58c | 15,107$8,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,806.56 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 41c | 14,577$5,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,612.51 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 39c | 11,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Flames | 41c | 9,498$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.82 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flames | 58c | 7,995$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.21 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 59c | 7,627$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.88 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…0a23backed Flames | 40c | 7,300$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.94 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Flames | 57c | 5,663$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.38 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 50c | 5,359$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 59c | 5,207$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.43 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Penguins | 59c | 5,178$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.25 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flames | 41c | 5,005$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.94 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Penguins | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.96 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Flames | 61c | 4,443$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…1b40backed Penguins | 51c | 4,353$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 57c | 4,302$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 49c | 4,111$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.21 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Penguins | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…fa27backed Penguins | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Penguins | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Penguins | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Penguins | 58c | 3,875$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.51 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 58c | 3,647$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.46 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins | 58c | 3,449$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 52c | 3,449$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.37 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Penguins | 59c | 3,386$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…851ebacked Penguins | 60c | 3,300$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 59c | 3,100$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Penguins | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Penguins | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 42c | 3,000$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Penguins | 58c | 3,000$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 57c | 2,881$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.96 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penguins | 58c | 2,862$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.42 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 58c | 2,857$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Penguins | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Penguins | 55c | 2,775$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.16 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Penguins | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 41c | 2,523$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.1 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 59c | 2,500$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 61c | 2,467$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Penguins | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 41c | 2,156$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.04 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 59c | 2,094$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.46 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 58c | 2,076$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.42 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Penguins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 44c | 1,858$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.43 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Penguins | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.8 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Penguins | 59c | 1,693$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Penguins | 41c | 1,606$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.14 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…f161backed Penguins | 59c | 1,603$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Penguins | 60c | 1,550$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Flames | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Penguins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Penguins | 59c | 1,456$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 54c | 1,236$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.65 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Flames | 42c | 1,213$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.3 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Penguins | 54c | 1,205$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.25 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 59c | 1,204$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…5eeebacked Flames | 41c | 1,149$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flames | 40c | 1,140$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.06 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…a783backed Flames | 45c | 1,121$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Penguins | 59c | 1,101$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.49 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…0492backed Flames | 41c | 1,030$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flames | 41c | 1,026$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.34 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Flames | 41c | 1,017$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.21 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Penguins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Penguins | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Penguins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Penguins | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…87d7backed Flames | 41c | 999$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Penguins | 51c | 968.55$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.69 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Penguins | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flames | 68c | 951.99$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Flames | 72c | 942.54$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.63 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Penguins | 59c | 939.97$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.58 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…131abacked Penguins | 27c | 932.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked Penguins | 60c | 875$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames | 40c | 873$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.8 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…ab31backed Penguins | 58c | 863.98$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…16a7backed Penguins | 59c | 834$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 58c | 800.05$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.8 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Flames | 79c | 780$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Penguins | 50c | 748.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…be98backed Penguins | 59c | 712$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…d593backed Flames | 41c | 690$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Penguinsthis page
- Flames vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.