NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0bfbec1ebc40b1b74214a30e6f31629170e21f170018412b9789c1ad4a12c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Stars, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 590 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Stars | 51c | 198,094$100,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,713.57 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Stars | 55c | 135,092$73,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,644.46 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Wings | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Red Wings | 46c | 36,000$16,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,439.98 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Red Wings | 46c | 24,990$11,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,494.34 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 45c | 22,274$10,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,227.78 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Red Wings | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Wings | 49c | 19,955$9,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,119.41 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 49c | 17,918$8,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,064.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Red Wings | 25c | 14,873$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,154.75 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Red Wings | 46c | 13,670$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,381.93 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 10,469$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.39 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Red Wings | 50c | 10,399$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.51 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Red Wings | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 49c | 9,284$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,716.04 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Red Wings | 53c | 9,085$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.53 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Stars | 54c | 8,822$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.1 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 61c | 8,069$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.72 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Red Wings | 57c | 8,012$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.57 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings | 45c | 7,470$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.41 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Wings | 46c | 7,320$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.8 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 76c | 7,225$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.14 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 55c | 7,160$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.65 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 54c | 6,944$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.73 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 54c | 6,869$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.34 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Red Wings | 48c | 6,505$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.88 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…b6a7backed Stars | 56c | 6,196$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 47c | 5,981$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 31c | 5,877$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.73 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 55c | 5,509$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.8 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Stars | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Red Wings | 47c | 4,999$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.53 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Red Wings | 46c | 4,675$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.79 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Stars | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 45c | 4,432$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.6 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 42c | 4,316$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.66 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Red Wings | 45c | 4,200$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stars | 44c | 3,644$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.29 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings | 45c | 3,632$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.6 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Stars | 42c | 3,582$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 2c | 3,560$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Stars | 55c | 3,265$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed Red Wings | 65c | 3,102$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,071$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.43 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 52c | 3,058$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.88 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Red Wings | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,949$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.45 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Red Wings | 47c | 2,844$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.6 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,612$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.48 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,478$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.9 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 45c | 2,435$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.41 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,328$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.15 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…a946backed Red Wings | 60c | 2,160$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,037$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.27 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stars | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Red Wings | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Stars | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,969$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.39 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Stars | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Stars | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Wings | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,659$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.45 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,528$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.01 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Stars | 4c | 1,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…94b2backed Stars | 51c | 1,174$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…13d6backed Stars | 55c | 1,108$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 56c | 1,106$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.77 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,073$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.06 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,058$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.29 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,039$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.27 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 57c | 1,000$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars | 34c | 1,000$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Stars | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Stars | 55c | 959$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.45 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Stars | 56c | 947.93$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Stars | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Stars | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars | 54c | 830$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 45c | 781$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.55 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…bac1backed Red Wings | 46c | 770$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 46c | 768$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Stars | 21c | 761$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…6d99backed Red Wings | 46c | 755.83$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Stars | 66c | 742$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.88 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…0178backed Stars | 55c | 740$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.