NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9721339c029a704e9317473e1246df82ee8d199377bba0a3ac2e474ef0c38c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 57c | 17,657$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,657.04 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 6,908$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 43c | 6,905$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.05 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 53c | 4,519$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.01 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 3,442$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.76 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 2,619$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.08 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 2,474$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.71 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 47c | 2,090$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.3 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over | 58c | 1,626$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Under | 58c | 1,244$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed Under | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 42c | 1,075$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 51c | 929.88$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.24 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 919.42$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.13 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 802$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 47c | 795.74$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 56c | 708.47$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.47 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 607.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 57c | 482.46$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 460.06$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 427.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 15c | 290$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 40c | 247.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 57c | 242.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 12c | 236.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 55c | 216.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 178.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 56c | 173$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Over | 58c | 161.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 10c | 128.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 43c | 117$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Over | 46c | 95.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 56c | 88.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 46.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 43c | 43.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 55c | 33.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…c4adbacked Over | 57c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…e583backed Over | 58c | 17.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Stars vs. Red WingsRed Wings won
- Stars vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.