Australian A League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2cba865cbe7b1eb818ffcfad7e74aba95195841dafef8db28953011a4e47d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 28c | 5,470$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.64 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,460$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.8 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…2266backed Yes | 23c | 2,779$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 78c | 2,095$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,860$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 1,860$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.85 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,762$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.78 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 16c | 1,738$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes | 68c | 1,467$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,276$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.82 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 1,071$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 1,037$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.37 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 42c | 946.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 868.34$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 77c | 799.99$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 50c | 678.91$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 645.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.88 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 631.65$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.37 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 42c | 618.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…e799backed Yes | 24c | 604.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 65c | 496.51$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 22c | 455.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 443.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…c365backed Yes | 24c | 418.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +318%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 24c | 408.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.41 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 328.23$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 66c | 325.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 273$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7866…8645backed Yes | 71c | 258$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 76c | 241.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 56c | 190.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked Yes | 70c | 161.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 70c | 142.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Yes | 28c | 137.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 19c | 137.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 106.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 22c | 104.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…ca11backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…75d1backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 24c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 23c | 85.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 77.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 74c | 76.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 24c | 62.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…b7aebacked Yes | 73c | 55.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 65c | 51.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 76c | 46.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…b168backed Yes | 55c | 46.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 45.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 31c | 41.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…5a17backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6db…3eb3backed No | 58c | 36.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 43c | 36.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…961cbacked Yes | 70c | 34.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 78c | 32.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 33c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 30.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…f8dabacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4b7ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 26.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40d…4813backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 77c | 23.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 74c | 22.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…1a18backed No | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 71c | 21.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 76c | 16.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.