TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes54c10,549$5,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,682.9812055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No45c8,950$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,918.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c8,084$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.5798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Yes50c4,616$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.0840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes48c4,060$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.83844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes49c3,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ad…bcdabacked Yes56c2,371$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+138.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No61c1,892$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.982250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c1,842$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.1243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No49c1,523$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.6222652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No66c1,474$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1922852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes55c1,408$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.0613933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Yes8c1,400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes54c1,053$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.123537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes22c952.77$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6611750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes48c893.61$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c826.5$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Yes55c814.55$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c775.9$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c767.78$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8946644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c750$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No54c749.28$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.671010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes55c727.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3119345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes63c723.61$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.8711063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No46c671$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes55c517.89$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.848051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.787435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes54c385.19$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No66c371.37$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.012479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes40c329.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.992548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f31…3e23backed Yes30c300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked No53c292.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No43c224.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.491442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No63c211.43$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6930536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Yes45c200.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c9…9764backed No37c188.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f5…7616backed Yes56c178.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+62.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.64551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No45c156.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.166243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c145.53$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9928659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…e080backed Yes34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No46c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Yes14c115.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.06650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes22c112.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Yes46c109.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33b…fa01backed Yes52c95.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No65c95.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.411776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Yes58c84.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No45c84.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0611351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes53c77.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa50f…f230backed Yes56c69.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes54c68.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No60c66.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.632878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No60c59.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8912532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.83574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes45c52.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.512634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc40d…4813backed Yes43c50.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.14852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Yes20c49.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes55c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.93333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6db…3eb3backed No40c42.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes45c41.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7e…b3f4backed No46c36.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes63c33.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+65.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f98…d18bbacked No37c27.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c26.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.636969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes55c23.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3dc…ece8backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ae…1a18backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed Yes65c19.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.