Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483fb4d074c39ef8e75e66cd986ad55cc343d77db3011e181cf6d7d930fba696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 84,508$40,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,178.45 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 41,574$24,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,327.52 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 50c | 40,658$20,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,363.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 20,634$11,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,696.18 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 53c | 20,308$10,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,596.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 54c | 19,315$10,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,897.68 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 15,703$7,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,712.43 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 10,208$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.89 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 52c | 9,632$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 52c | 7,801$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 50c | 5,900$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 26c | 4,493$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 3,959$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.08 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 46c | 3,211$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 15c | 2,999$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 44c | 2,868$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 55c | 2,687$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 2,390$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.18 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 49c | 2,289$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 55c | 2,205$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,105$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 47c | 1,543$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.68 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,457$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,167$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 47c | 1,149$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,076$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 20c | 990.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 66c | 939.91$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 14c | 921.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +998.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 55c | 909.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 55c | 888.8$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 46c | 840.3$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 819.61$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.89 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 53c | 759.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 755.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 29c | 695.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 50c | 694.6$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 50c | 666.14$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 578.13$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Yes | 14c | 514.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…81bcbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…4a35backed Yes | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 488$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 36c | 480.23$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 37c | 472.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 59c | 368.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 45c | 357$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 45c | 299.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 21c | 262.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 52c | 255.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 36c | 220.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 47c | 210.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 49c | 205.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 48c | 199.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 195.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…f3c3backed Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed No | 53c | 189.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 45c | 185.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed No | 55c | 160.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 48c | 154.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 152.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 50c | 142.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed No | 57c | 134.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 37c | 127.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…8689backed Yes | 53c | 118.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 54c | 114.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 58c | 113.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes | 31c | 105.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 60c | 97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 52c | 90.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.