Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1c9a28673b08fd2d340b5c49469a9af737cdbd0ed780d68d09f902463b6680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 49c | 23,443$11,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,523.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 9,424$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.17 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 5,438$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.55 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 76c | 3,953$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…fdffbacked Yes | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 62c | 2,700$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 2,596$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.16 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 52c | 1,877$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 44c | 1,848$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,817$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 1,790$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.74 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes | 79c | 1,262$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 882$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.6 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked No | 72c | 881.11$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 774.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.11 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed No | 71c | 710$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 597.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 56c | 566.06$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 13c | 520.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 29c | 494.73$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 16c | 452.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked No | 71c | 420$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed No | 73c | 333$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 325$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Yes | 76c | 272.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 71c | 261.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 17c | 261.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…eba1backed Yes | 55c | 228.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed No | 75c | 185$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes | 61c | 164.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 25c | 142.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed No | 42c | 122.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed No | 70c | 109.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 53c | 103.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…d54abacked Yes | 67c | 84.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Yes | 27c | 73.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 15c | 68.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 48c | 62.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 71c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 30c | 47.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 47.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Yes | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 35.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…8da2backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 46c | 30.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 80c | 24.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…c5dbbacked Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.