TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Collignonof Collignon, Dimitrov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe167…03a1backed Collignon52c9,878$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,762.7531647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Dimitrov63c7,645$4,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.581546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Dimitrov63c7,045$4,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.3612442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Collignon36c6,438$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.311457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Dimitrov64c6,375$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.9913852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Collignon37c5,838$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,677.8478152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Dimitrov60c5,600$3,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3832650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Collignon33c3,784$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.0410443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Collignon49c3,729$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.722,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Collignon53c3,569$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.868,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Collignon56c3,476$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Collignon35c3,316$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.5819241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Dimitrov48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Dimitrov1c3,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+117.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Collignon44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Collignon47c2,961$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.842,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78f…72dbbacked Dimitrov43c2,942$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc8…cd76backed Dimitrov26c2,600$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Dimitrov67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6756036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Dimitrov49c2,353$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.091,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Dimitrov64c2,349$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Dimitrov28c2,332$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.435851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Dimitrov49c2,086$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Dimitrov67c2,081$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.1963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Collignon38c2,064$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.5924448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Collignon37c2,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27023731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Collignon38c1,974$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.757645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Dimitrov70c1,949$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3551070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Dimitrov65c1,863$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.1220653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Dimitrov39c1,824$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71710161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Collignon36c1,793$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.97,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Dimitrov64c1,788$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.389264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Dimitrov10c1,774$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…934cbacked Dimitrov63c1,764$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Collignon36c1,700$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08227944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…fd24backed Dimitrov63c1,592$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.392552%13 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Collignon38c1,522$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.8114450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Dimitrov67c1,344$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Collignon40c1,305$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78362545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4d…575dbacked Dimitrov62c1,294$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Dimitrov65c1,275$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.6814456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Collignon35c1,197$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Dimitrov68c1,184$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.3145457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Dimitrov55c1,171$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.631,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Dimitrov63c1,064$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.4617348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Collignon74c1,057$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Collignon78c1,043$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.732,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Collignon37c1,022$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0410541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Collignon36c1,003$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.292,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Dimitrov63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Dimitrov60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Collignon36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.995349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Dimitrov68c947.74$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3612752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Collignon49c941.2$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.210252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Dimitrov11c890.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Dimitrov36c885.46$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.213938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Dimitrov67c833.04$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.1437540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Dimitrov54c829.15$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.795164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Collignon59c811.57$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.914247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Dimitrov19c811.49$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.325040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Collignon37c808.16$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2324846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Dimitrov38c794.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Dimitrov67c738.66$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.453046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Dimitrov59c733.32$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9924844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Collignon53c718.57$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.322,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Collignon36c699.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.523745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Collignon36c695.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.8922744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Dimitrov37c672.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Collignon36c645.94$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.848446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Dimitrov62c645.72$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.241955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Dimitrov29c639.18$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.282,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Collignon35c584.24$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.824340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Dimitrov64c579.69$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Dimitrov66c572.82$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.228462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Collignon27c564.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5134842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Collignon38c535.14$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6410247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Dimitrov60c533.17$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.62,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Collignon36c529.34$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7844125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Dimitrov62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Dimitrov5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Dimitrov64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Collignon34c459.94$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Dimitrov66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dimitrov5c446$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.461,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Dimitrov37c413.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.622236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Dimitrov73c412$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7659165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Dimitrov63c399.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25228451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Dimitrov13c399.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Collignon75c396.54$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6525134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Dimitrov62c378.71$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Dimitrov65c370.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24065558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e70…9a38backed Dimitrov66c368.55$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.244465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Collignon45c368.34$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.186,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…53a1backed Dimitrov64c359.38$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27db…5897backed Dimitrov28c357.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Dimitrov28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Dimitrov61c351.1$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1546649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Dimitrov16c349.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.271136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Dimitrov52c338.1$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17538951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Collignon75c337.11$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2825556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.