Tennis · resolved market
Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13ed2ed6a4ec97c9dda7f755b56104561afec7c6e6c6c6451be040e1eed9548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 48c | 136$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor DimitrovCollignon won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs DimitrovCollignon won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.