Tennis · resolved market
Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x180700b271aaecd2d0bb84713fe8a03d5ed6fe515fe243dcfbd483c9b6766446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 56c | 192$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 56c | 101$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor DimitrovCollignon won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs DimitrovCollignon won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.