TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcc8…cd76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST3839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$52.74
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120.57
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+90.3%+$40.4
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51.18
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$632.94
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.4%+$44.84
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$101.31
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+54.2%+$300.4
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$42.32
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40.75
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+32.2%+$4.62
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.25
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+50.6%+$8.41
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+50.3%+$10.04
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.48
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.28
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+71.5%+$9.52
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+387.8%+$39.75
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+77.4%+$35.09
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$73.4
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST3327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Oilersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.88
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$103.83
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$64.67
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.79
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+148.8%+$16.94
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.54
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12.81
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.87
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Blackhawks vs. Kingsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.99
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.51
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Blues vs. Bruinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$63.25
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$63.86
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$24.51
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.18
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.75
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+48%+$78.84
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$205.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$307.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$296.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.