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NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Blackhawks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$383,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Kings65c228,573$148,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,000.5310349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks35c81,249$28,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,437.3288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Blackhawks35c29,761$10,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,416.2110451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Blackhawks35c18,804$6,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,627.4438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blackhawks36c16,134$5,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,808.1938748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…09a0backed Blackhawks9c14,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Blackhawks35c13,017$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.9522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8370…033bbacked Blackhawks35c10,398$3,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blackhawks35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Blackhawks35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50062951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blackhawks36c7,811$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.9658841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Blackhawks35c7,720$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.3730152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Blackhawks35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Blackhawks36c5,091$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.6528353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Kings65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Blackhawks36c4,570$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.322946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings64c3,947$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.154047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Kings64c3,656$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.1415954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Kings65c3,215$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.7312254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Blackhawks35c3,081$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.359250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Blackhawks35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Blackhawks35c3,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks35c2,823$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.212,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings64c2,685$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.591,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Kings66c2,647$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.548955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks35c2,537$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.741,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Blackhawks40c2,474$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kings71c2,219$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.6585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blackhawks36c2,071$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75443743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings66c2,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Blackhawks35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Blackhawks35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Blackhawks35c1,613$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Blackhawks35c1,553$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349f…c6b6backed Kings65c1,540$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Blackhawks35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52511849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks36c1,361$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Blackhawks35c1,259$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.6728652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Blackhawks35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Kings63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3707546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Blackhawks7c999.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2111537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings60c990.24$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.792,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks35c920.15$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.231,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings68c890.66$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.782,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Blackhawks35c883.67$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2869550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Blackhawks35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Blackhawks35c854.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7948452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Blackhawks37c851.35$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31514148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Kings62c807.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.665837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings64c785$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Kings66c703.03$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0331753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blackhawks22c686.56$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Blackhawks38c667.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.849642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings63c641.15$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.231,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blackhawks34c624.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.525045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Kings65c619$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6547051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Kings65c576.93$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.436163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Blackhawks35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blackhawks35c565.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1343944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks33c559.49$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.391,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings80c550.63$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.681,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Kings63c524.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2517749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Blackhawks36c513$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.687354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Blackhawks36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Blackhawks34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17048050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blackhawks35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Blackhawks35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Blackhawks35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks28c411$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.582,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks30c402.11$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.43,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Blackhawks35c310.29$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.631047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Kings65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Kings63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9938857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Blackhawks38c299.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks34c299.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Blackhawks35c297.59$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1628853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Blackhawks35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.520446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Blackhawks35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Blackhawks35c269.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3727353.8%147 W · 126 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Kings63c267.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.811855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings64c262.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc8…cd76backed Blackhawks20c252.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.993327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blackhawks24c241.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.982043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Kings75c237.95$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8717356.6%98 W · 75 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks34c228.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.631,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Blackhawks35c218.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5910143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blackhawks8c217$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Blackhawks34c213.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5248748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Blackhawks36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Kings64c198.62$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0135245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Kings72c187.57$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.332744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blackhawks29c182.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.951,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7643…7fc5backed Kings65c173.85$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Blackhawks35c172$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5630349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Blackhawks36c170.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5562944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8979…f003backed Blackhawks34c151.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.